Physics-Informed AI for Robust Ship Fuel Consumption Prediction

Development of a Ship Fuel Consumption Prediction Model Considering Environmental Factors

2024.03 –
Human Centered – Carbon Neutral Global Supply Chain Research CenterTime-Series Representation Learning
AI for Sustainable Maritime TransportSpatio-temporal data analysisPhysics-Guided Time Series PredictionSurrogate Modeling

Motivation

Maritime operations face growing pressure to improve sustainability, with regulations becoming more stringent worldwide. For optimal route generation that considers the environment, it is necessary to develop a fuel consumption model that reflects environmental information.

Maritime data, environmental data

Methodology

  • Reflect environmental information by integrating information obtained from satellite environmental data with AIS data
  • Regression and neural surrogate modeling for fuel estimation
  • Extract a physics-based resistance value using AIS and environmental data

Contribution

  • Proposes a robust hybrid fuel consumption prediction model, resilient to environmental changes, by integrating physics-based knowledge.
  • Contributes to the development of an optimal routing system aimed at achieving tangible reductions in carbon emissions through the developed model.