Personalized Dose Determination for Patients with Thyroid Hormone Disorders

Optimal and Personalized Dose Determination for Patients with Thyroid Hormone Disorders Using Deep Learning-Based Survival Analysis

2022.01 – 2025.12
ThyroscopeAI in Quality Engineering
Survival AnalysisDeep LearningTime Series Data

Motivation

A drawback of traditional thyroid hormone therapy is the difficulty in determining the initial dosage. An inappropriate initial dosage can lead to 1) goiter, 2) thyroid eye disease, 3) prolonged treatment duration, and 4) increased medical costs and patient dissatisfaction.

Methodology

  • In the training phase, longitudinal patient data is fed into a deep learning survival analysis model to train it to calculate a cumulative incidence function that fits individual patient profiles.
  • In the testing phase, only first patient data is fed into the model to calculate different cumulative incidence functions for different dose levels. The dose with the highest value is recommended as the optimal initial dose.

Contribution

  • Existing approaches to treating hyperthyroidism have often relied on physician experience, but we have developed a data-driven model that leverages deep learning and survival analysis to provide individualized dose recommendations for patients with hyperthyroidism.
  • This approach effectively addresses the challenges posed by complex, nonlinear and irregularly sampled data that are hyperthyroidism patients