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Real-Time Changing-State Quasar Detection

Real-time detection of changing-state quasars using a Mixture Density Network.

AI HUBSystem Monitoring & Anomaly Detection
2021.01 – 2025.12
Outlier DetectionAstronomicalPhysicsTime Series
·Motivation

Reliably detect changes in quasar (QSO) light curves in real time and describe these changes quantitatively for easy understanding.

·Methodology
  • Apply physics-based transformation to irregularly observed astronomical time series.
  • Estimate the probability of being normal at each time using a conditional density model on the transformed data.
  • Detect outliers when data deviating from normal probability arrives, defining this as a changing state.
·Contribution
  • Understand QSO state changes and identify their physical mechanisms.
  • Selectively identify reliable targets for spectroscopic follow-up, improving efficiency.
  • Understand and explore supermassive black holes.
Real-Time Changing-State Quasar Detection
Real-Time Changing-State Quasar Detection